WGN-TV Chief Meteorologist Tom Skilling and the WGN Weather Center staff provide daily coverage of weather in the Chicago area.

April 2006 Archives

Weekend soaker brings one-inch-plus rains

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A slow-moving weather system moved into the Chicago area late Saturday afternoon, and its soggy effects won’t totally move out of the region until late tonight or early Tuesday.
Through Sunday evening, the city’s official weekend storm total at O’Hare Airport had reached 1.25”, while Midway Airport recorded an even 1.00”. Those totals helped bring April precipitation back to about normal, after a two-week dry spell that followed the wet and stormy Easter Sunday.
Mild conditions should continue into Thursday before a sharp cool-down takes aim at the city by the end of the week.
With chilly air from central Canada pouring into the region on gusty northwest winds, high temperatures should hold in the lower or middle 50s on both Friday and Saturday before milder air returns next Sunday.
--Steve Kahn, WGN Weather Center Meteorologist

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TORNADOES IN MAY

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CHICAGO SNOW IN MAY

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Weekend rains expected to make up April deficit

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Basketball fans have become used to the Chicago Bulls last-minute comebacks, and for now it has carried over to weather as well. Heavy rainfall last night and today is expected to make up for an April deficit that as of Friday had grown to over an inch.
Occasional downpours may well push this storm’s metro area average rainfall totals well over an inch, and by midnight tonight boost the official O’Hare April total rainfall in excess of the normal 3.68". Unattached from the primary polar jet stream far to the north and steered by weak westerly winds aloft, a low pressure system will slowly drift through the western Great Lakes and Ohio Valley the next few days allowing May 2006 to start off on a cloudy cool and damp note.
The polar jet is expected to migrate south, absorb the weakening Great Lakes low pressure system, and reconnect with the upper air wind pattern over the U.S. by next weekend—leading to a touch of Canada cold Saturday.
-Paul Dailey WGNTV Meteorologist

Precipitation and Tempereatures

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Growing Degree Days

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Clouds on Mainly Sunny Days

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Windy downpours, local 2” rain tallies ahead

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It’s the 9th weekend of meteorological spring, and it’s likely to become only the second of the season to log measurable rain on both Saturday and Sunday. The steady stream of eye-catching computer rainfall projections for Chicago continue, and suspicions that the area is on its way to 2006’s heaviest single rain tally still persist. Such forecasts have converged on weekend tallies near 2”, which would eclipse the 1.20” that fell here Feb. 15-16 and mark only the third official 1”-plus rain of 2006.
It won’t be difficult to dodge raindrops Saturday morning. Rainfall is likely to consist of scattered showers which look more impressive on radar than they really are. The first raindrops may evaporate in dry air near the ground as the day begins. But, the atmosphere is to moisten rapidly Saturday afternoon once a band of 80 m.p.h. winds organize less than a mile above the ground. Those winds, with Gulf origins, promise rapid delivery of moisture expected to fuel impressive downpours.
--Tom Skilling, WGN-TV Meteorologist

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WINDY, WET STORM THIS WEEKEND

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LIGHTNING WITHOUT THUNDER

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Thursday’s short-lived 71° victim of back-door cold front

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The month’s 11th excursion above 70° Thursday—the most of any April since 1977—lasted just an hour before a back-door cold front swept the area. Such fronts derive the “back-door” label because their motion is opposite the norm—some would say “backwards.” Thursday’s front approached from the east rather than the west. By nightfall, the westbound front had cleared the Fox Valley and was continuing its westward trek.
The area’s precipitous return to chilly temperatures resulted from a vigorous post-frontal temperature plunge, which first commenced on Lake Michigan’s western shore around midday from Waukegan south to Chicago’s lakefront. By 2:05 p.m. Thursday, it had reached O’Hare. Readings there fell the remainder of the afternoon and evening, reaching 54° at 6 p.m. and 45° at 10 p.m. The 26-degree plunge over 10 hours rendered Thursday’s 71° high the city’s shortest spell of 70° warmth so far this month.
--Tom Skilling, WGN-TV Meteorologist

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MORE RAIN DUE THIS WEEKEND

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FATA MORGANA

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Huge 45° temperature surge in just two days

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Huge temperature swings are a part of any Chicago spring season. The warming strength of the sun was demonstrated Wednesday, only the fourth day since March 1 to produce 100% of the area’s possible sunshine. In just nine hours area thermometer observers watched one of the three latest occurring 27° morning lows on record in over 135 years of official weather records evaporate at the hands of a 37° temperature surge. Afternoon readings peaked 18° above Tuesday’s 46° high at a seasonable 64°. Even warmer readings are predicted Thursday. Converging winds ahead of a southbound Wisconsin cold front ought to induce a bit of compressional warming—a process which occurs as any gas is squeezed or compressed. Should Thursday’s 72° high verify, it would make the 11th reading at or above 70° this month—already the 7th warmest April since 1871.
-Tom Skilling

Temperatures

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The Coming Storm

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Annual Number of Lightning Flashes

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Daybreak chill follows coldest April 25 in 30 years

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Chicagoans shivered through one of the city’s most potent late April daytime temperature pullbacks in nearly 20 years Tuesday. The 46° high was 27° colder than Monday’s 73° peak reading and the coldest April 25 afternoon temperature here in 30 years (since the 45° high in 1976). Only twice since city weather observations moved to Midway Airport in 1942 then to O’Hare in 1980 has April 25 been any colder. The temperature plunge between Monday and Tuesday was the equivalent of the change in “normal” highs which would occur if the clock could be turned from mid or late May back to the middle of March.
Readings Tuesday were so chilly, rare late season ice pellets and flurries were observed. A trace or more of snow has been observed in the city a total of 7,560 days since 1885. Yet snow or ice pellets have fallen only 74 times in that 121 year period beyond April 25.
-Tom Skilling

Chicago Temperatures

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A Lingering Storm System

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Storm Spotters

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Hit and run cold punch to blast Chicago

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Chicago’s delightfully mild April, which currently ranks fourth warmest in 135 years of records dating back to 1871 is facing a brief but potent setback. A slug of cold air barreling down icy Lake Michigan will drop Tuesday’s temperatures more than 25º from Monday’s balmy 73º high and even bring a threat of frost to inland areas early Wednesday. The chill will be brief, departing as quickly as it came with the mercury rebounding nearly 20º back to the middle 60s Wednesday.
Chicago’s change won’t be quite as dramatic as the one that hit Valentine in central Nebraska where Sunday’s high topped out at 73º followed by an unseasonably chilly 40º high and 4” of snow Monday.
Severe weather broke out across the southern Plains Monday with more than 125 reports of severe weather, including a twister at El Reno, Oklahoma about 30 miles west of Oklahoma City.
-Steve Kahn WGNTV Meteorologist

Tuesday’s Temperature Plunge

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Spring 2006 Temperatures

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Hawaiian Tidal Waves in 1946

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Rain brushes area tonight, returns next weekend

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The week ahead will be very springlike, starting out with perhaps the warmest day of the week followed by what may turn out to be the coldest day tomorrow. If clouds from an approaching low pressure system hold off, highs today may warm well into the 70s. Then as low pressure passes to the south Tuesday, chilling north winds will make 50° temperatures “feel” like the 40s. Midweek weather should be very seasonable, but on Friday a low pressure center will “cut off” or become detached from the main jet stream flow in Canada, centering over the western Great Lakes where it will drift slowly east over the weekend, giving Chicago another “cool down” along with extensive cloudiness and frequent showers.
The Atlantic hurricane season approaches, but it’s now for Australia as the country’s north coast braces for monster Category 5 Tropical Cyclone Monica, carrying wind gusts well over 200 m.p.h. and 30-foot waves as it approaches the mainland today.
--Paul Dailey, WGN Weather Center Meteorologist

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CHICAGO DROUGHT UPDATE

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WIND AND MILD SPRING DAYS

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Week to open on a temperature downhill

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Earlier in the month it was up,up up as the city experienced 38° of warming over a six day period from a chilly 43º high on April 8 to a summer-like 81º reading on April 14. But for now, it’s all downhill as Chicago temperatures have begun an extended slide from last Thursday’s high of 75º to an expected 54º maximum by Tuesday. In fact, some frost may occur in inland areas early Wednesday as early morning temperatures there are expected to drop into the lower and middle 30s.
The early season warmth that has engulfed not only Chicago this month but also the entire Midwest has been depressed south as a pool of cold air sinks into the region from Canada. Record warmth was widespread across Texas on Saturday as Beaumont, Galveston and Houston topped all previous April 22 readings with highs in the middle and upper 80s.
Warmth returns to the Chicago area by the end of the week.
-Steve Kahn WGNTV Meteorologist

Late Season Snow

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Winter 2005-06 Snowfall

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Chicago's Longest String of Record Temperatures

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Back-to-back Aprils on similar temperature track

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The opening three weeks of April 2005 and 2006 have been delightfully mild. Last year, the city racked up nine days of 70º or higher including three days in the 80s, similar to our current eight days with two in the 80s. However, the warmth ended abruptly in 2005 with highs for the rest of that month mainly limited to the 40s and 50s.
Cooler weather is headed for the area again this year with weekend readings in the 60s heading down to the 50s by the middle of next week as winds turn northwesterly. The chilly weather may even bring a threat of frost to outlying areas by Wednesday morning. Such a cool-down is not unexpected this time of year: The city’s average date of the last sub-50º high is May 1.
Precipitation has been a different story: In April 2005, scant rainfall contributed to the start of last year’s drought, while frequent rains and even some flooding this year have significantly improved the area’s moisture deficit.
--Steve Kahn, WGN Weather Center Meteorologist

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NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN

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THE FUJITA TORNADO SCALE

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Mild spell continues, but cool down looms

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Chicago’s mild April, the fifth warmest to date, will continue in that vein through the weekend with daytime highs continuing to average 5 to 10° above normal. However, by early next week a cold upper low over central Canada will sink south into the Great Lakes region putting at least a temporary hold on the balmy weather. By Tuesday and Wednesday afternoon readings should hover in the lower and middle 50s as brisk northwest winds and sun-blotting clouds make the temperature downturn even more noticeable.
Cooler weather has already arrived in Texas. The Dallas-Fort Worth area which recorded its highest April temperature on record a few days ago with a torrid 101º, could only muster a cool 72º high Thursday.
Late snowfall reports from this week’s South Dakota Black Hills’ blizzard are amazing. Final snowfall totals topped 6 ft. (74") at Lead while Deadwood recorded more than 4 ft. (52").
-Steve Kahn WGNTV Meteorologist

Drought Update & Cool Down

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Tornado Anniversary

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Severe Weather Watches & Warnings

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Spring blizzard buries Black Hills region

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A raging late season blizzard dropped nearly four feet of snow on the Black Hills area of South Dakota Wednesday bringing traffic to a standstill as winds gusting to more than 70 m.p.h. piled the snow into huge drifts.
By late Wednesday, Deadwood, north of Rapid City had measured 46" of snow.
In contrast, mild, tranquil weather prevailed in the Chicago area Wednesday with temperatures in the 70s and more of the same is on tap for today. The quiet pattern is providing a welcome change from an active severe weather season in Illinois. So far this year 44 twisters have struck in central Illinois, many in the Springfield area, compared to only 2 at this time in 2005. Two years ago on this date the weather was anything but quiet, as more than a dozen twisters swept areas from LaSalle County to Chicago’s southern suburbs, including the F3 Utica tornado that tragically took eight lives.
-Steve Kahn WGNTV Meteorologist

Warm Temperatures

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2006 GROWING SEASON

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Seasons in Greek Mythology

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Spring-like here; blizzard in northern Plains

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A sunny spring day prevailed across northeast Illinois yesterday while 60 mile per hour winds and heavy snow closed Interstate 94 in eastern Montana. At the same time several inches of heavy wet snow fell over western portions of the Dakotas as a strengthening low pressure system slowly drifted east. East winds traversed only a third the distance over the still cold (temperatures mostly in the 40s) Lake Michigan Tuesday than northeast winds did Monday (60 miles vs. 150 miles). Both days were sunny, but the shorter trek over the cold lake translated into significantly warmer temperatures across the metro area, especially inland. O’Hare for example recorded a 56° high Monday, then came in with a 10° warmer 66° high yesterday. Heat resulted in another day of record-breaking highs, but also contributed to another round of violent large hail-producing thunderstorms from Texas to Missouri and downstate Illinois.
-Paul Dailey WGNTV Meteorologist

Illinois Update

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Weather Changes Ahead

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Starry Night Over Chicago

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After the rains clearing skies and flooding

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Sunday’s storm totals in excess of 4" in southern Cook County and extreme NW Lake County Indiana resulted in flooding in the Little Calumet River basin at Thornton, Munster, and South Holland. The river is expected to drop below flood level at those points today. The 5.13" rainfall measured at Lansing was the highest official report.
High pressure brought clearing skies and east winds here with most readings failing to warm out of the 50s Monday. However in Texas, Oklahoma, Louisiana and Arkansas it was an entirely different story with numerous record highs observed, perhaps the most noteworthy the 101° at Dallas which was the warmest April temperature ever officially recorded at that city. A slowly approaching low pressure system will move into the western Great Lakes and influence Chicago weather by midweek giving cloudiness and periodic showers into the coming weekend.
-Paul Dailey WGNTV Meteorologist

Rains and Heat

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Omega Blocking Pattern

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Tornadoes in Evanston Illinois

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40-degree spread ignites Easter thunderstorms

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Temperatures across Illinois ranged from the damp and chilly upper 40s near Waukegan to the very warm and sultry upper 80s around St. Louis Sunday afternoon, setting the stage for violent thunderstorms and heavy rainfall. The sharp temperature contrast, mixed by a strong low pressure system working east across the state, developed wave after wave of thunderstorms—many of them severe. At least 17 twisters were reported in Illinois along with numerous reports of hail and strong winds. Golf-ball hail pelted the Aurora area, while stones larger than baseballs slammed downstate Normal. Torrential downpours brought nearly 3 inches of rain in about an hour, flooding roads east of Joliet near Beecher and south of Kankakee near Chatsworth.
Substantial rainfall soaked the Chicago area with totals through late evening approaching 1.5 inches in southern sections, while northern areas lagged—but the rain was still coming down.
--Steve Kahn, WGN Weather Center Meteorologist

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2005 HURRICANE SEASON WRAP-UP

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NAMING CYCLONES

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Heavy rainfall threatens wettest Easter in 22 years

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A storm system moving east from the Plains threatens to make Easter Sunday here pretty much of a washout.
Showers and thunderstorms should occur intermittently today before tapering off tonight. A brisk east wind off of chilly Lake Michigan will restrict temperatures to the 50s from the city north, but southern sections should see readings rise into the 60s. With moist air feeding into storm, precipitation totals in the city are expected to top the one inch mark and if this occurs Easter 2006 will be Chicago’s wettest since 1.43” of rain fell on April 22, 1984.
Hot air surged north ahead of the storm system Saturday afternoon setting record high temperatures through the southern Plains and Southeast. Wichita Falls, Texas took the heat honors with a sizzling record high of 102º. The storm also spawned numerous twisters in Kansas and Nebraska adding to this season’s growing totals.

EASTER AT CHICAGO

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Tornado Season

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Tides on the Great Lakes

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Summer-level warmth/humidity fuels big storms

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After breaking the 80° barrier for the second consecutive day, and with dew points rising into the 60s, the passage of a weak cold front Friday triggered late-afternoon and evening severe storms south of Interstate 80 and east into Indiana. There were numerous large hail reports, including tennis ball size at Milford in Iroquois County, golf ball size at Otterbein in Benton County, Ind., and monster grapefruit-size (4-1/4 inch) hail at Rochester in Fulton County, Ind. A possible tornado was reported in Ambia in Benton County, Ind.
Highs the past five days averaged more than 20 degrees above average. For the sixth consecutive day, highs were warmer than the previous day; that’s something that hasn’t happened here in nearly three years (June 2-8, 2003).
Friday’s warmth wasn’t limited to Illinois; including the 88° record high at Springfield, cities in 12 other states as far away as Texas, New York and the Carolinas also posted record highs for April 14.
--Paul Dailey, WGN Weather Center Meteorologist

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TRACKING THIS WEEKEND’S STORM

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SHAPE OF RAINBOWS

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Season’s first 80s arrive, spawn violent storms

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Chicago officially recorded its first 80º reading of the year Thursday, 11 days ahead of the typical April 24 first occurrence. It was the city’s fourth consecutive day where a new high temperature benchmark for the year was established, steadily upping the ante from Monday’s 71º.
In Chicago and near the lake afternoon warmth was fleeting as a windshift off of the chilly lake waters sent early evening temps crashing into the 60s.
Just to our west readings surged even higher Thursday as new records for the day were set at Rockford 83º, Moline 86º along with Cedar Rapids 86º and Burlington 87º both in Iowa.
The unseasonable warmth helped fuel violent thunderstorms that produced at least 15 tornado reports along with hail as large as grapefruit in eastern Iowa and northwest Illinois through late evening. Heavy damage was reported in Iowa City including some on the University of Iowa campus. -Steve Kahn WGNTV Meteorologist

Temperatures & Precipitation

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Drought Update

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Alaska Earthquake & Hawaii Tsunami

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Season’s first 80° readings possible today

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With a strong southwest wind and abundant morning sunshine, northeast Illinois is poised for a quick warm-up into the 70s today. Depending upon how fast clouds develop and move over the area this afternoon, high temperatures in the lower 80s are a distinct possibility, especially in southern locations. Chicago’s long-standing 82° record high for this date (set 65 years ago) could be in jeopardy. This will be the 4th straight day with a high in the 70s which has occurred only nine other times so early in the season, and if forecasts prove correct this string could extend to 6 days by Saturday. Six consecutive 70° days this early in the year has occurred only once previously in 1921. Winds shift east Friday and temperatures will drop off, most noticeably in areas close to the lake. Meanwhile low pressure off the west coast will continue to pound northern and central California with downpours and heavy snow at higher elevations.
-Paul Dailey WGN Meteorologist

Warm Weather in Chicago

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Severe Storms blast Illinois from tip to tip

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Snowfall in April

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Lake Michigan down 5” from last year

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Water levels on Lake Michigan have fallen 5” from April a year ago. Although seasonal warming cuts into evaporation from the lake and causes its water to expand, producing a temporary seasonal increase in lake levels, the U. S. Army Corps of Engineers cautions mariners that lake levels are likely to wind up below last year’s during the upcoming boating season. Levels have fallen on the other Great Lakes as well, down 4 to 9” since last April. Waves of downpour-generating thunderstorms have largely bypassed the Great Lakes Basin from which precipitation drains into the Great Lakes.
Daytime 70s may dominate the rest of the week. Several computer model forecasts produce easterly winds off the lake Friday, a development which could impair warming if true. But, the forecast trend is indicated by only a handful of models at this time. It’s a period which will have to monitored.
-Tom Skilling

Great Lakes Update

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Warmth in Chicago

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Chicago Storm on July 2, 1992

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Chicago’s 71° Monday tops Highs in Atlanta and Las Vegas

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For only the second time this year Chicago’s high temperature surged above 70°. Monday’s official 71° peak afternoon reading was 2006’s highest here, enough to beat the 69° highs in usually warmer Atlanta and Las Vegas. Not since Oct. 18 last fall have Chicagoans been treated to a temperature as warm. But, it’s a thermal benchmark likely to have a very short shelf life. Tuesday’s 74° predicted high is to top Monday’s high. An influx of high cloudiness filters the day’s sun and will determine the extent of warming. It would take only a slight reduction in the extent of this high cloudiness to allow the city’s official high to creep to 77°.
Longer days drive seasonal warming. Days have lengthened 4 hours in Chicago since winter’s open this past Dec. 21. But, the continent’s arctic regions enjoy as much as 16 additional hours of sun, a development which reduces cold air’s ability to surge southward.
-Tom Skilling

Longer Days, Stronger Sunshine

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Chicago’s 70° Weather

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Longest Period Without Precipitation

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Mild weather, rain boost bud-blooming odds

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For the next seven days, daily highs are forecast to be at least 10 degrees above normal, with the week’s average probably closer to 15 degrees above norm. That along with frequent periods of rain after midweek should accelerate the spring tree/plant-blooming process over northeast Illinois. A weak cold front will move through northern Illinois Tuesday, preceded by gusty southerly winds and showers. Moisture with this system is expected to be on the light side. After moving south of the Ohio River, this front will transform to a warm front Thursday and begin a slow movement north. With time, southerly flow from the Gulf of Mexico will eventually be lifted over the warm frontal surface, producing significant weekend rains with embedded thunderstorms over first central and then northern Illinois.
Nearly stationary low pressure off the West Coast will trigger heavy lowland rains over northern California and accumulating snows in the Sierra Nevadas.
--Paul Dailey, WGN Weather Center Meteorologist

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CHICAGO AREA TORNADOES

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FREQUENCY OF WEATHER SYSTEMS

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Much more springlike temperatures this week

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With the west-east jet stream flow aloft positioned to the north in Wisconsin, the major storm track will be along and north of the U.S.-Canadian border almost the entire week ahead. This translates into a mild—even warm at times—next six days. The normal highs the second week of April are in the mid 50s, while forecast highs Monday through next Saturday are expected to average some 15 degrees above that figure.
The big warm-up comes toward week’s end. Next Saturday, all the atmospheric ingredients (including warm air streaming into Illinois on the back of south winds) come together to give Chicagoans their first 80° of 2006.
This week’s weather pattern portends a respite from the severe weather outburst experienced from the Rockies to the East Coast this past week. However, the West Coast—especially northern and central California—is primed for another siege of heavy rains, heavy snow in the mountains and possible flooding.
--Paul Dailey, WGN Weather Center Meteorologist

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2006 TORNADO UPDATE

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DERECHO

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2006 FERMILAB/WGN Severe Weather Seminar

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This year our seminar takes place on SATURDAY, APRIL 8, 2006 at NOON and 6 P.M.


A LAST-MINUTE REMINDER!!! YOU ARE INVITED!
It’s that time again! Spring’s arrival brings with it the risk of tornadoes and severe thunderstorms. This marks the 25th year we’ve invited our readers and viewers to join us for at the Fermilab National Accelerator Laboratory in Batavia, Illinois for a gathering of some of this country’s severe weather forecasters and researchers. We have an outstanding group of speakers planned this year.

There are some important new topics we’ll cover this year. Years of work have been under way on one of this country’s most horrific tornado disasters—the so-called Tri-State Tornado which swept from Missouri across southern Illinois and into Indiana. The ongoing work, conducted by Matt Gilmore, Bob Johns, Don Burgess and Bob Maddox, all well known and respected scientists in this country’s premier severe weather community, is yielding some amazing new insights into on of the country’s seminal tornado event. The storm literally wiped whole communities off the map, killing 695 people—the greatest number of fatalities to occur with ANY tornado in the U.S. before or since.

-Tom Skilling


FREE TO THE PUBLIC
The seminar, which starts at Noon Saturday and is repeated at 6 p.m. is absolutely free of charge. Seating is first come, first-served--so get there early.

HOW TO GET THERE
The Fermilab’s Ramsey Auditorium is the site of our annual seminars and is within the tall building at the center of the complex. Access to Fermilab’s grounds may be made through the Kirk Road entrance on the facility’s west side. Exit I-88 (The Ronald Reagan Expressway) heading northbound on Farnsworth Avenue, which becomes Kirk Road--and head north to the stoplight which marks the entrance to Fermilab. We hope to see you there!!!

LIST OF SPEAKERS


Pat Spoden

(Science Operations Office, National Weather Service Forecast Office-Paducah).
A look at the deadly middle of the night Madisonville, Indiana tornado of November 15 including video

Dr. Matt Gilmore (University of Illinois) and Bob Johns (veteran National Weather Service severe storms researcher and forecaster).
New insights into one of this country’s most devastating tornado disasters: The Deadly Tri-State Twister of 1925. Years of investigation are yielding a new understanding of this tornado--arguably this country’s seminal tornado event. Matt and Bob intend to address the meteorological conditions which supported the mammoth storm and offer some fascinating updates on the gargantuan dimensions of this storm’s Missouri, Illinois and Indiana run.

Dr. Joe Schaefer (Director, NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center, Norman Oklahoma).
The Storm Prediction Center issues all of this country’s tornado and severe thunderstorm watches as well as critical wildfire guidance. Joe discusses the latest developments in the new county-based severe weather watch system, which outlines the area at risk for tornadoes and severe t-storms by counties. The 50th anniversary of the Hudsonville, Michigan twister generated by a unique set of atmospheric conditions, will be covered as well.

Dr. Mary Ann Cooper, MD (Professor of Medicine at the University of Illinois-Chicago)
“You can make a difference in lightning safety! Dr. Cooper is among the world’s leading authorities on lightning injuries. She’s a practicing physician and a Professor of Medicine at the University of Illinois-Chicago and has devoted decades of work in understanding what happens to the human body when struck by lightning and what all of us can do in avoiding dangerous lightning situations.

Dr. Jim Angel (Illinois state climatologist, Midwestern Regional Climate Center).
How and when have tornadoes occurred in Illinois over the term of weather records? That’s the topic of Jim’s presentation which offers a fascinating insight into how these deadly storms have impacted the state.

Jim Allsopp (Warning Coodination Meteorologist, National Weather Service-Chicago).
Tornadoes and Severe Weather Hazards--Understanding the Risks and storm spotting recommendations.

Ed Fenelen (Meteorologist in Charge of the National Weather Service-Chicago).
Ed’s just arrived at the National Weather Service Forecast Office as its MIC. He speaks about NOAA Weather Radio and how it offers round the clock alerts, even when storms strike at night when we’re sleeping.

Tom Skilling (Chief Meteorologist, WGN-TV/Chicago Tribune).
Getting the word out in the media during times of severe weather. There’s been a revolution in the way in which weather watches and warnings are communicated to the public. Public involvement is crucial.

Dozens of twisters Friday push 2006 tally past 435

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Friday’s howling 40 m.p.h afternoon gusts and February-level temperatures were uncomfortable here. By late evening, wind chills had been below 30° for eight consecutive hours—and were expected to stay there all night. The cold air originated 700 miles north in snow-covered Ontario Province, Canada.
But, the frigid weather spared Chicago from Friday’s deadly severe weather outbreak across 12 states—including downstate Illinois. By 10 p.m. Friday, 40 twisters had been tallied with severe weather ongoing. Five active tornado watches covering nine states late Friday suggested additional overnight touchdowns were likely.
--Tom Skilling, WGN-TV Meteorologist

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MORE 70s—AND MAYBE AN 80°—TO ARRIVE NEXT WEEK

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CAN WATER BE "SAVED"?

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Cold lake and Canadian snowpack behind chill

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Blame a late season snowpack still in place over sections of southern Canada and the chilly waters of Lake Michigan for the late February level temperatures expected to dominate most of Friday. Computer-generated wind trajectories indicate the chilly air here Friday was situated in central Ontario Province, Canada, Thursday. Powerful NE winds have forced the chill on a trek into the metro area, much of it over the cold waters of Lake Michigan. The time incoming air spends over the cold water is directly related to the wind direction and is critical in determining how chilly temperatures are likely to be once they reach the city. The NE winds which blow as the day begins travel across just 120 miles of water before reaching Chicago. But these winds are to become more northerly and by evening will be entering the city after a near 290 mile trip over cold water. Temperatures are likely to decline during the day.
-Tom Skilling

Friday’s Temperatures

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Friday Tornado Risk

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Big Snowfall in April 1938

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Downpours Thursday night; temps dive Friday

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Spring’s latest powerhouse storm system hits the Chicago area with a one-two punch in the next two days—impressive rains, especially Thursday night, followed by plunging Friday temperatures. Thundery Thursday night downpours are likely to deposit 1-2” of rain over a region gripped by moderate to severe drought ahead of a new growing season.
Record warmth in the Plains sent Wednesday temperatures soaring to the low 90s in the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles. New records were established from Lubbock, Texas (92°) to Rapid City, S.D. (80°). It’s warmth expected to flood into downstate Illinois/Indiana Thursday—and then over a vigorous warm front which stalls south of Chicago. The process supports showers Thursday, but is likely to produce thunderstorms capable of downpours and severe weather over sections of the Chicago area Thursday night.
-Tom Skilling

Temperature Update

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New Tornado Outbreak

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Rainbows & Snowbows

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California mountains smothered by 52 feet of snow

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There wasn’t a cloud in the sky here Tuesday. It’s the first time in 18 days that’s happened and only the second time in the last month and a half the city’s received 100% of its daily sun. But, incoming high clouds signal change. Another major storm is headed this way, the latest to ride off the Pacific, pound the West with flooding rains and huge mountain snows —only to jump into the Plains and Midwest where it threatens to provoke a major severe weather outbreak in sections of 13 states Thursday into Friday.
The storm swamped Santa Barbara, Calif. with 3.78” of rain Monday and Tuesday, inundating Nordhoff Ridge in the nearby Ventura County with 7.88”. At higher elevations, snowfall reached 60” at the 9,000 ft. level of Mammoth Mountain in this storm alone. This brings that site’s 2005-06 seasonal snowfall to a record breaking 619 inches—51.6 feet.
-Tom Skilling

70s Possible Next Week

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Big Rains Target Drought Zone

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Windy Downtown Chicago

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Many springs which start wet, stay wet

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Thundery downpours are history for a couple of days. The sun’s back and stronger than ever Tuesday and Wednesday. Days this time of year are nearly four hours longer than in December and sunlight is four times as strong. It’s a big reason temperatures trend higher at the second fastest pace of any month through April.
Recent rainfall has made a dent in this area’s drought. But, with deficits as large as those on the books, rainfall will have to keep coming regularly. The first three months of 2006—as well as the opening days of April—have posted rainfall surpluses. It’s a trend which has been observed before in La Nina springs. (La Ninas are declared when equatorial Pacific waters west of South America cool, impacting global weather.) Past years with similar rain patterns have remained wetter than normal the rest of April as well as through meteorological spring (which ends May 31).
-Tom Skilling

Precipitation Update

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More Tornadoes Ahead

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Warmest Cubs Home Opener Game on Record

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Severe storms blast Illinois from tip to tip

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A 400-mile-long line of severe thunderstorms swept across all of Illinois late Sunday afternoon and evening, pummeling the state with high winds, hail and tornadoes. Taylorville (southeast of Springfield) was hard hit with a twister damaging or destroying many homes and businesses. Wind gusts were clocked at 74 m.p.h. in the Champaign area.
Tornadoes also touched down in the state capital of Springfield exactly three weeks after numerous twisters raked the area on March 12.
Hail up to 1.5 inches in diameter fell in the Chicago area as several waves of severe storms passed through the region during the evening. Intense lightning associated with the storms sparked a house fire in Schaumburg.
The storms occurred ahead of a strong spring low pressure system and produced more than 475 reports of severe weather Sunday across a large swath of the Midwest from the Missouri to the Tennessee valleys.
--Steve Kahn, WGN Weather Center meteorologist

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END OF CHICAGO’S SNOW SEASON

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VIEWING A TOTAL SOLAR ECLIPSE

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Two bouts of severe weather possible this week

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April is a month known for severe weather in Chicago as advancing spring and retreating winter air masses frequently clash as potent low pressure systems traverse the Midwest. April 2006’s opening week will be no exception as the city braces for two rounds of potentially severe weather. The first batch will occur late today and tonight as warm and humid air surges into the city just ahead of low pressure system approaching from the west. The second wave of severe weather is on track for a Thursday arrival as a second storm system makes a beeline toward the city.
As a result of the two storm systems, this week’s temperatures fluctuate wildly, varying nearly 25° from the upper 40s to the lower 70s.
Additionally the city can expect more strong winds to buffet the area in the wake of both storms, similar to Friday’s gusty onslaught.
-Steve Kahn, WGN-TV Meteorologist

Tornados in Chicago

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Chicago's Biggest Snow: April 2-3, 1975

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Green Flash

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