Heat/humidity provoking severe weather outbreak Monday afternoon; severe thunderstorm watch covers Chicago
A significant outbreak of downpour and lightning-generating severe weather is to sweep much of northern Illinois and Indiana Monday afternoon and evening and has already hammered much of southern Wisconsin and Illinois counties adjacent to the border. A severe t-storm watch covers the Chicago metro area until 8 pm. Our WeatherBug sensors have indicated 57 mph wind gusts have just hit Kenosha, Wisconsin (at 2:55 PM) and 40 mph gusts have raked Burlington, Wisconsin in the past half hour. Rainfall there has totaled 0.90" while 1.04" is down in Kenosha. Sirens are reported sounding in Belvidere based upon an unofficial tornado sighting in the area according to WREX in Rockford. Based on the moisture saturated atmosphere (there's 1.76" evaporated in the air over Chicago) fueling the storm outbreak, there's every reason to believe significantly more rain than that will fall in storms now sweeping a wide swath of northern Illinois and that flooding may become an issue in parts of the area.
Radar is scanning cloud tops at 50,000+ ft.--an indication of these storms' power---- and our lightning detection system has just indicated an amazing 1,900 cloud to ground strokes have occurred in the past 10 minutes. (This update is being placed on our blog at 2:55 pm). The storms are dramatically altering temperatures. Readings have plunged into the 60s under the heavy storms after hovering in the low 90s.
The atmosphere is in an explosive, energetic state, more than capable of supporting storms into the evening. Converging winds along a southbound cold front at the surface produce upwelling of the hot, humid air into lift-inducing jet stream winds overhead. Monday's storms are the result and threaten to be severe in some sections. The downpours come in the midst of this area's 4th month of below normal rainfall in Chicago. Northern sections of the metro area have fared better in the rain department but may be overburdened by Monday's heavier storms.
The gusty, rain-cooled storm outflow from Monday's storm outbreak is likely to initiate new storm development and impact Chicago proper as the afternoon and evening proceed. And, though dramatic heat relief is occuring with these storms--cooling likely to hold into tonight---it's temporary. The cold front responsible is to head back north and put the area back in unstable warm, humid air again Tuesday---a development likely to support new storms tomorrow.
UPDATE
McHenry County flash flood warning, Doppler rain estimate: 3"
Storms sweeping northwest suburban McHenry County have deposited an estimated 3" of rain in a very short time period prompting a flash flood warning.
Tom Skilling WGN-TV Chief Meteorologist,
Steve Kahn and Mike Hamernik WGN-TV Weather Center