Rain won’t be far from Chicago at any point in the coming seven days. Though rain won’t fall continuously—rainfree periods are a good bet in the coming week—with a nearly stationary warm front over NE Illinois, the atmospheric set-up threatens to build on March’s 1"+ rainfall surplus. Computer rainfall projections Thursday suggests totals in the coming week are likely to average 1.61" while two week totals may approach or locally exceed 3".
Thundery downpours redeveloped late Thursday over central and northern Illinois beneath clouds which towered up to 40,000 ft. These storms threatened southern sections of the metro area with the most concentrated and heaviest rainfall overnight.
Predawn t-storms Thursday pounded some areas with hail. Hailstones 1/2" in diameter pelted Midway Airport while 1" hail occurred in Joliet and Plainfield. Golfball-size hail dented cars in NW suburban Streamwood. --By Tom Skilling, WGN-TV Chief Meteorologist
Day turned to night over portions of the metro area late Wednesday as powerful thunderstorms—some nine miles high—unleashed lightning-peppered downpours and a barrage of hail on Chicago and many west and northern suburbs. The lightning pictured below was photographed looking north from the 44th floor of the John Hancock building. It struck near North Lake Shore Drive around 5:40 p.m. and was one of more than 660 cloud-to-ground lightning discharges to occur within 10 minutes inside a 225 mile radius of Chicago. Wednesday’s severe weather—the first here of 2007—followed the second 70° temperature this year at Midway Airport. Kankakee County’s Bonfield was the area’s warmest at 79°. Late Wednesday, authorities responded to motorists trapped by flooding on Rt. 41 near Knollwood in Lake County Illinois. Rain Wednesday reached 2.01” at northwest suburban Woodstock, 1.46” at Algonquin and 1.37” in Arlington Heights.
--By Tom Skilling, WGN-TV Chief Meteorologist
Downpour-generating, Chicagobound thunderstorms towered more than 6 miles into the atmosphere over Kansas and Missouri late Tuesday. The storms, which threaten to unleash 1-2"+ rains here, swamped Wichita, Kan. with 2.21" Tuesday. Converging ground level winds along the same vigorous warm front expected to sweep across the metro area later this morning, will help instigate such storms.
Temps soared in the Plains south and west of those storms Wednesday. A record high of 83° was set at Rapid City, S.D. while Chadron, Neb. reported 80°.
Powerful SSW winds follow the warm front’s passage here Wednesday afternoon, gusting at times to 40+ m.p.h. This first full day of spring will feel the part once these winds take hold. The powerful winds are expected to reach more than a thousand miles from the Gulf of Mexico to the North Woods region of upstate Wisconsin late today.
--By Tom Skilling, WGN-TV Chief Meteorologist
The sun’s most direct rays fall on the equator at 7:07 p.m. Tuesday evening marking the astronomical start of spring.
Unfortunately, in few ways will Tuesday feel very springlike here in Chicago. Chilly air has returned with the onset of northeast winds. It’s a development not uncommon in March. Winds blow off Lake Michigan 37% of the time this month. Using history as a guide, winds in April and May will blow from the east 46% and 49% of the time respectively.
But the city’s weather news isn’t all bad. A northbound warm front, situated over Oklahoma and Arkansas as Tuesday dawns, is to sweep north, passing Chicago Wednesday.
Thundery downpours are likely to erupt. But the south winds it ushers into Chicago promise a temperature and humidity surge expected to lend the atmosphere the “feel” of spring Wednesday into Thursday-including a 20°+ temperature jump.
--By Tom Skilling, WGN-TV Chief Meteorologist
Tuesday’s shirt-sleeve temperatures (73º at O’Hare and 74º at Midway—record high temperatures for the date at both locations) are a fading memory as the arrival of cold Canadian air reminds us that this is, after all, March. And yet an additional reality check: Wet snow (mixed with rain) put down a slushy layer in a few places Wednesday night—lingering as spits of flurries into today’s early morning hours.
And while Chicago’s temperatures were collapsing from the 50s into the 30s on Wednesday, pre-cold frontal readings surged downstate. Afternoon temperatures peaked at 78º at Champaign and Decatur, record highs for the date at both location. Below-normal readings persist for the remainder of the week, but a strong warm-up carries temperatures back well above normal by the middle of next week, along with the prospect of a wetter weather regime.
--By Richard Koeneman, WGN Weather Center Meteorologist
Chicago’s high temperature was 24º exactly one week ago, and nighttime readings were in the teens—but that is a fading memory as today’s temperatures head toward record-setting warmth. And we’re not alone: This early-spring mild spell sent yesterday’s temperatures into the 80s as far north as the Dakotas, and the intermountain West is mild as well. It’s a testament to the changeable nature of the nation’s spring climate.
While welcome here, the warmth is not without its problems elsewhere. High temperatures, low humidity and 40 m.p.h. Santa Ana winds have sparked wildfires in the Los Angeles area.
Locally, brisk southwesterly winds today will be sufficient to overcome the possibility of lakeside cooling—always a consideration on exceptionally mild early-spring days—so today’s record-high temp is expected to prevail right down to the icy waters of Lake Michigan.
--By Richard Koeneman, WGN Weather Center Meteorologist
Following February’s persistent chill, Chicagoans anxious for a hint of mild spring temperatures are about to have their expectations satisfied, at least for a few days. Lingering snow cover will retard the warm-up slightly because heat energy needed to melt snow has to come from the air. Fortunately, snow depths south of Chicago, the direction from which milder air will be approaching, are minimal—generally 1-3”—and that snow will disappear quickly today.
That opens the door to higher temperatures still when the next strong warm surge arrives Monday and Tuesday. Today’s expected high temperature, 53º, will be the highest reading logged here in 67 days—since the official thermometer at O’Hare International Airport registered 56º on Dec. 31.
Looking ahead, present indications suggest a return to much colder temperatures beginning Thursday of next week.
--By Richard Koeneman, WGN Weather Center Meteorologist
Tornadoes can occur year around, but the U.S. tornado season usually first gathers strength in January and February across southeastern states (Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia and Florida.)
Then, as spring arrives and milder temperatures overtake the Great Plains and Midwest, the peak of tornado activity shifts to those regions.
Coincident with the arrival of milder and more humid air, March through June constitutes the Illinois tornado season. The nation’s worst tornado disaster, the Great Tri-State Tornado of March 18, 1925, killed 695 people as it rampaged from Missouri across southern Illinois into southwest Indiana.
Intense thunderstorms produce tornadoes, but thunderstorms draw their energy from mild, moist air, without which they rarely become severe. And that’s the hidden benefit of a cold March: No severe thunderstorms and no tornadoes.
--By Richard Koeneman, WGN Weather Center Meteorologist
Chicago temperatures slipped below normal last Jan. 28, and the city’s run of sub-normal readings has continued in practically uninterrupted fashion since then. In fact, we experienced above-normal temperatures on only eight days during the 38-day period from Jan. 28 through yesterday.
Tuesday’s afternoon maximum temperature—a frigid 24º—was 18º below the day’s normal high of 42º and the coldest March 6 since 22º was logged on today’s date in 1960. Temperatures continue below normal through tomorrow, but a major weather pattern change locks into place by Friday and that change signals the demise of the city’s extended cold spell.
Readings hold in the 30s today and Thursday but break well into the 40s Friday, Saturday and Sunday—and that’s only the beginning. The warm-up strengthens: Highs Monday surge into the 50s, and to about 60º on Tuesday.
--By Richard Koeneman, WGN Weather Center Meteorologist
Winter must eventually yield to the inexorable arrival of spring—it always does—but for Chicagoans waiting impatiently for mild temperatures, it’s happening at a maddeningly slow pace this year. At long last, there is some good news: Computer models indicate a major weather pattern change, albeit a gradual one, that offers the prospect of significantly milder temperatures in upcoming days.
Before that happens, however, we will have to endure another shot of cold and snow, this time in the form of an “Alberta Clipper” weather system—so called because it will sweep from Alberta, Canada, southeast across the Midwest.
Increasingly cloudy skies today announce the approach of the clipper, and light snow begins by evening. An inch or two is likely before the system retreats to the east early Wednesday. Temperatures moderate slightly on Thursday, and warming arrives in earnest by Friday.
--By Richard Koeneman, WGN Weather Center Meteorologist